Queen Of The South 2-1 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Queen Of The South
2-1 HT 1-1
Arbroath
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Queen Of The South vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.89 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queen Of The South v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.47/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.81
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Queen Of The South vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arbroath
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCK
16.04.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 5-1 HT 2-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
19.02.2022 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.11.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
18.09.2021 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-2 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
06.03.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 2-4 HT 2-3 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South nicked a narrow win over Arbroath 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Queen Of The South made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.00 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Arbroath?

Queen Of The South 2-1 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 37%, draw 25%, Arbroath 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arbroath), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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