Dumbarton 1-5 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.62/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.29
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 1.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 15
14 Shots on Target 8
18 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
25.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-5 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKK
13.05.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
09.05.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 6-0 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
08.04.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-1 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
11.02.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic swept aside Dumbarton 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dumbarton and 2.50 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?

Dumbarton 1-5 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 46%, draw 22%, Annan Athletic 33%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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