Queen Of The South 2-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.63/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.77
+10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
21.09.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
14.08.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCK
15.07.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKLK
03.09.2016 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 7-1 HT 4-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKCK
30.07.2016 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
16.04.2013 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South edged past Stenhousemuir 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Queen Of The South found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Queen Of The South and 0.67 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Stenhousemuir?

Queen Of The South 2-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 33%, draw 27%, Stenhousemuir 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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