Stenhousemuir 2-1 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 35% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -24%
1.34/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.31
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Queen Of The South
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
14.12.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-1 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
21.09.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
14.08.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCK
15.07.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKLK
03.09.2016 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 7-1 HT 4-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKCK
30.07.2016 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir edged past Queen Of The South 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.67 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Queen Of The South?

Stenhousemuir 2-1 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 42%, draw 28%, Queen Of The South 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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