Edinburgh City 2-0 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 25% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +17%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.39
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Elgin City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
22.02.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 1-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
21.12.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
28.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 3-3 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
26.03.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
07.01.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.11.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City beat Elgin City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Edinburgh City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Edinburgh City and 1.50 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?

Edinburgh City 2-0 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edinburgh City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 42%, draw 32%, Elgin City 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Edinburgh City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Edinburgh City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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