Stirling Albion 3-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.46/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.70
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
166 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 175 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 3.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
94% Pass Accuracy
2 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 3-0 HT 2-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
21.12.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
28.09.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
23.07.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
18.03.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
28.01.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion got the better of Stranraer 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stirling Albion found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Albion had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stirling Albion and 1.17 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Stranraer?

Stirling Albion 3-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 41%, draw 23%, Stranraer 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stirling Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stirling Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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