Raith Rovers 1-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Aug 2026

Raith Rovers
1-1 HT 1-1
Stenhousemuir
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2026/2027

Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.27
No
44%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
12%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
18.85
X/1
18%
3.63
X/2
7%
14.35
X/X
8%
5.4
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
13%
13.45
2/X
5%
22.25
Value flag · 2/2 at 13.45 — our 13% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
40%
+16.1pp
44%
BTTS No
60%
-16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Raith Rovers v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 15%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
06.04.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
05.01.2019 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 5-1 HT 4-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
17.11.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
11.08.2018 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
18.08.2015 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCK
26.03.2003 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers and Stenhousemuir shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.00 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?

Raith Rovers 1-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 52%, draw 23%, Stenhousemuir 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Raith Rovers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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