Ayr United 2-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.99
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
7%
6.83
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
16%
5.59
2/X
13%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
0.60/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.04
-12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 67%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
27.0 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Arbroath
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Corners 2
11.04.2026 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
03.03.2026 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.11.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
01.08.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
19.07.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 4-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKLK
23.01.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United beat Arbroath 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ayr United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ayr United and 0.50 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Arbroath?

Ayr United 2-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 37%, draw 31%, Arbroath 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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