Ayr United vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ayr United v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals
Ayr United vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Ayr United
İKCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Ayr United
İKCL
2-2
HT 1-0
Arbroath
İKCL
0-2
HT 0-0
Ayr United
İKCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Arbroath
İKCL
Ayr United 2-0 Arbroath — Actual Match Statistics
Ayr United saw off Arbroath 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Ayr United had 52% of the ball to Arbroath's 48%, shots finished 11-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ayr United and 1.00 for Arbroath.
What was the final score of Ayr United vs Arbroath?
Ayr United 2-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Arbroath?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 43%, draw 25%, Arbroath 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.