Arbroath 0-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +25%
1.00/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.96
-15% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.1 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
02.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
31.03.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
14.01.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
29.10.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 0-2 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.07.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
19.03.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arbroath
0-0
AWAY Ayr United
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath and Ayr United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arbroath had 51% of the ball to Ayr United's 49%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arbroath and 0.83 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Ayr United?

Arbroath 0-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 28%, draw 24%, Ayr United 47%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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