Greenock Morton 1-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 13 Jan 2024

Greenock Morton
1-1 HT 1-0
Partick Thistle
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.35
X/2
10%
5.84
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.78
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +14%
1.86/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.23
+26% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
– Crosses 18.5
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
02.09.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-4 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
11.03.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
07.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
12.11.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
01.10.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 5-1 HT 2-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL

Greenock Morton 1-1 Partick Thistle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenock Morton
1-1
AWAY Partick Thistle
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton and Partick Thistle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Greenock Morton had 59% of the ball to Partick Thistle's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greenock Morton and 2.33 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Greenock Morton 1-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 37%, draw 27%, Partick Thistle 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greenock Morton), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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