Arbroath vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arbroath v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals
Arbroath vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Ayr United
İKCL
Arbroath and Ayr United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Arbroath at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arbroath and 1.50 for Ayr United.
What was the final score of Arbroath vs Ayr United?
Arbroath 1-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Ayr United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 48%, draw 26%, Ayr United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arbroath) went the other way.