Ayr United 4-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 19 Jul 2025

Ayr United
4-0 HT 1-0
Arbroath
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Ayr United vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 32% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.25/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.49
-32% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ayr United vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arbroath
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.01.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
02.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
31.03.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
14.01.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
29.10.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 0-2 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United cruised past Arbroath 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ayr United and 1.00 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Arbroath?

Ayr United 4-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - League Cup on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 51%, draw 26%, Arbroath 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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