Montrose 4-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 19 Jul 2025

Montrose
4-1 HT 0-1
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Montrose vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
8%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montrose v Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.96/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.24
-48% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose swept aside Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montrose as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Montrose 4-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - League Cup on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Montrose 53%, draw 22%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montrose) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montrose) ✗ BTTS No
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