Alloa Athletic 1-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 19 Jul 2025

Alloa Athletic
1-0 HT 0-0
Dundee FC
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Alloa Athletic vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+7.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 70%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.42/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.55
+49% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +62%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Alloa Athletic vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dundee FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
The Meetings
19.03.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
29.12.2020 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
06.11.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-3 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
03.03.2020 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
29.10.2019 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-3 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
14.09.2019 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic squeezed past Dundee FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dundee FC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.33 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Dundee FC?

Alloa Athletic 1-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - League Cup on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 22%, draw 22%, Dundee FC 56%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundee FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ BTTS No
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