Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.06
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.4
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.75
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.48
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
12.2 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ross County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
25.10.2025 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
30.08.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
16.07.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKLK
09.04.2019 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.02.2019 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
24.11.2018 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic swept aside Ross County 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dunfermline Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.83 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County?

Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 Ross County in the Scotland - Championship on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 38%, draw 26%, Ross County 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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