Ross County 3-2 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Oct 2025

Ross County
3-2 HT 2-1
Dunfermline Athletic
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.94
X/2
17%
6.43
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.88
2/X
6%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Dunfermline Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.74/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.87
+3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
236 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.0 Crosses 7.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
16.07.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKLK
09.04.2019 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.02.2019 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
24.11.2018 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
11.08.2018 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-3 HT 1-2 Ross County Ross County İKCL
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County edged past Dunfermline Athletic 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ross County found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ross County and 0.83 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Ross County 3-2 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ross County 37%, draw 27%, Dunfermline Athletic 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ross County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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