Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 30 Aug 2025

Dunfermline Athletic
2-2 HT 1-1
Ross County
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
45%
1.69
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 32% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.69
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
18%
5.25
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
16%
4.02
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
12%
4.17
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Ross County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.16/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.44
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 71%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.0 Crosses 15.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ross County
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
16.07.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKLK
09.04.2019 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.02.2019 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
24.11.2018 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
11.08.2018 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-3 HT 1-2 Ross County Ross County İKCL
12.01.2016 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic and Ross County couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dunfermline Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.67 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County?

Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 Ross County in the Scotland - Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 43%, draw 29%, Ross County 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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