Ayr United 1-1 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.19
X/2
13%
8.64
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
7%
22.8
2/2
10%
6.83
2/X
4%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.80/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.48
+4% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queens Park
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
95% Pass Accuracy
10 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-2 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
04.03.2025 Queens Park Queens Park 2-3 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.11.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
21.09.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
23.03.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
27.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United and Queens Park shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ayr United and 1.67 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Ayr United 1-1 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 49%, draw 23%, Queens Park 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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