Ayr United 1-2 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
3.14
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.2
X/2
12%
6.07
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.27/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.29
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queens Park
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
27.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.11.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
22.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-5 HT 1-4 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
21.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
03.02.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.10.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 5-0 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayr United
1-2
AWAY Queens Park
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Corners 13
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park squeezed past Ayr United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Queens Park found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ayr United had 46% of the ball to Queens Park's 54%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ayr United and 1.17 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Ayr United 1-2 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 40%, draw 25%, Queens Park 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ayr United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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