Arbroath 0-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
48%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
48%
Away Win
63%
-14.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 67%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.02/1.00
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Partick Thistle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
06.01.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 4-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
04.11.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-3 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.09.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-3 HT 0-2 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
29.04.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
25.02.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
19.11.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arbroath
0-1
AWAY Partick Thistle
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle nicked a narrow win over Arbroath 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arbroath had 47% of the ball to Partick Thistle's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arbroath and 2.00 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Partick Thistle?

Arbroath 0-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 27%, draw 25%, Partick Thistle 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
23 Mar 2024
18:00 Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Ayr United vs Queens Park Analysis →
18:00 Dundee United vs Inverness CT Analysis →