Partick Thistle 4-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
34%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.17
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.95
X/1
9%
3.79
X/2
10%
9.08
X/X
7%
5.48
2/1
7%
22.15
2/2 EV+ ✗
20%
7.08
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.08 — our 20% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
64%
-21.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
16%
+18.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.86/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
+0% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
6.0 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Arbroath
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
04.11.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-3 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.09.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-3 HT 0-2 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
29.04.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
25.02.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
19.11.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
03.09.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 0-2 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Partick Thistle
4-0
AWAY Arbroath
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle cruised past Arbroath 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Partick Thistle had 54% of the ball to Arbroath's 46%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Partick Thistle and 0.67 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Arbroath?

Partick Thistle 4-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 43%, draw 23%, Arbroath 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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