Ayr United 1-3 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
11%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
13%
4.77
X/2
15%
5.76
X/X
13%
4.33
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.35
2/X
7%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.30/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.26
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.0 Crosses 13.2
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
11.11.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 3-1 HT 3-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
12.08.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
05.05.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.03.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
19.11.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-2 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
01.10.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayr United
1-3
AWAY Inverness CT
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT saw off Ayr United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Inverness CT made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ayr United had 51% of the ball to Inverness CT's 49%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ayr United and 1.50 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Inverness CT?

Ayr United 1-3 Inverness CT in the Scotland - Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 35%, draw 28%, Inverness CT 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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