Dundee United 2-3 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
19.85
X/1
17%
3.37
X/2
6%
13.45
X/X
11%
6.16
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
8%
11.2
2/X
6%
20.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
2.09/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.64
+14% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greenock Morton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
16.09.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
25.01.2020 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
10.12.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
28.09.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 6-0 HT 3-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
04.05.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
02.02.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
2-3
AWAY Greenock Morton
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton edged past Dundee United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee United had 52% of the ball to Greenock Morton's 48%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dundee United and 0.83 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Greenock Morton?

Dundee United 2-3 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 54%, draw 26%, Greenock Morton 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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