Queens Park 1-2 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Jan 2024

Queens Park
1-2 HT 0-1
Ayr United
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Queens Park vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
12.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 25% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.39
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.25
X/2
10%
5.84
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
15%
3.95
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.24/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.66
-19% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Queens Park vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
22.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-5 HT 1-4 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
21.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
03.02.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.10.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 5-0 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
05.08.2022 Queens Park Queens Park 2-3 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL

Queens Park 1-2 Ayr United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park
1-2
AWAY Ayr United
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United edged past Queens Park 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ayr United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Queens Park had 46% of the ball to Ayr United's 54%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queens Park and 2.50 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Ayr United?

Queens Park 1-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 39%, draw 26%, Ayr United 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queens Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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