Raith Rovers 2-3 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.86
6+ Goals
12%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.51
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
12%
4.07
X/2
13%
7.83
X/X
10%
4.57
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
17%
6.23
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
24%
+13.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
0.87/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.26
+16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
341 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 65%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.0 Crosses 13.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
02.12.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
16.09.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
08.04.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-0 HT 2-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
28.01.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
22.10.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
03.09.2022 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raith Rovers
2-3
AWAY Inverness CT
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT nicked a narrow win over Raith Rovers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Inverness CT made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Raith Rovers had 53% of the ball to Inverness CT's 47%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.33 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?

Raith Rovers 2-3 Inverness CT in the Scotland - Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 39%, draw 24%, Inverness CT 38%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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