Dundee United 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
18.95
X/1
22%
3.55
X/2
7%
15.25
X/X
6%
6.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.75
2/2
7%
11.8
2/X
8%
19.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
2.34/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.99
+20% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +103%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
10.11.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
09.09.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 3-0 HT 3-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCK
12.08.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
29.02.2020 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
26.10.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 2-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
24.08.2019 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
0-0
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United and Dunfermline Athletic played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dundee United at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee United had 53% of the ball to Dunfermline Athletic's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundee United and 0.67 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Dundee United 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 60%, draw 21%, Dunfermline Athletic 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundee United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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