Airdrieonians 1-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 29% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.38
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.0
X/2
11%
4.94
X/X
14%
4.26
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
23%
3.32
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 43%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.23/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.93
+7% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
Crosses 17.5
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
02.12.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
12.08.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
27.03.2021 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-4 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İK1
24.10.2020 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians and Partick Thistle shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Airdrieonians and 2.25 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle?

Airdrieonians 1-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 34%, draw 27%, Partick Thistle 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Partick Thistle), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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