Queens Park 2-3 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.25
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
8%
6.97
X/2
8%
4.74
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.9
2/X
13%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.3pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.21/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.82
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 10.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
Pass Accuracy 95%
4 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
21.09.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
23.03.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
27.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.11.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
22.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-5 HT 1-4 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United squeezed past Queens Park 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ayr United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Queens Park and 2.33 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Ayr United?

Queens Park 2-3 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 27%, draw 34%, Ayr United 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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