Airdrieonians 0-3 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 4 Mar 2025

Airdrieonians
0-3 HT 0-2
Falkirk
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Airdrieonians vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 25% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.3
1/2
5%
22.55
1/X
8%
18.6
X/1
9%
12.15
X/2
20%
3.91
X/X
11%
5.69
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.86
2/X
7%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-11.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airdrieonians v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 66%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.56/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.32
-44% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -47%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 4.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Airdrieonians vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Falkirk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
14.09.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-2 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
13.05.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
09.05.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 6-2 HT 5-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
15.04.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
25.02.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-3 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Airdrieonians 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Airdrieonians and 1.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Falkirk?

Airdrieonians 0-3 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 23%, draw 26%, Falkirk 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
4 Mar 2025
22:45 Queens Park vs Ayr United Analysis →