Ayr United 3-2 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Nov 2024

Ayr United
3-2 HT 2-0
Queens Park
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Ayr United vs Queens Park Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
9%
6.97
X/X
9%
4.58
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.19
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Queens Park — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.52/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.48
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ayr United vs Queens Park Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Queens Park
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
95% Pass Accuracy –
10 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
23.03.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
27.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.11.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
22.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-5 HT 1-4 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
21.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United squeezed past Queens Park 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ayr United and 1.33 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Ayr United 3-2 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 45%, draw 27%, Queens Park 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5
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