Raith Rovers 2-3 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
18%
3.74
X/2
8%
10.5
X/X
22%
4.47
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
8%
9.15
2/X
8%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.8pp
35%
Draw
26%
+9.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.92/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.49
+12% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
10 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.04.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.02.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.10.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
12.08.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 3-2 HT 2-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
22.04.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton nicked a narrow win over Raith Rovers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.00 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?

Raith Rovers 2-3 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 44%, draw 35%, Greenock Morton 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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