Partick Thistle 5-1 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
15%
3.83
X/2
10%
10.9
X/X
11%
5.47
2/1
10%
23.4
2/2
8%
8.6
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.7pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.81/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.79
-5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses 2.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
12 Crosses 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
22.04.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
28.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
15.10.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
06.08.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
19.03.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-4 HT 0-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle swept aside Hamilton 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.67 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Hamilton?

Partick Thistle 5-1 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 50%, draw 27%, Hamilton 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
16 Nov 2024
18:00 Livingston vs Falkirk Analysis →
18:00 Ayr United vs Queens Park Analysis →
18:00 Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton Analysis →
18:00 Dunfermline Athletic vs Airdrieonians Analysis →