Livingston 1-0 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Nov 2024

Livingston
1-0 HT 1-0
Falkirk
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Livingston vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.78
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
10%
7.69
X/2
11%
4.36
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.62
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.34/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.79
+34% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
233 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 4.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Livingston vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Falkirk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
5 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
13.07.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKLK
17.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
03.02.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 1-3 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
23.01.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
19.12.2017 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston edged past Falkirk 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Livingston and 0.50 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Falkirk?

Livingston 1-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Livingston 33%, draw 26%, Falkirk 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Falkirk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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