Hamilton 1-0 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.6
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
13%
6.78
X/2
15%
4.9
X/X
15%
4.94
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
18%
2.92
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
0.91/3.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.26
-36% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 68%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
19.8 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
22.04.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
28.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
15.10.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
06.08.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
19.03.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-4 HT 0-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
08.01.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamilton
1-0
AWAY Partick Thistle
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
1 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton edged past Partick Thistle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Partick Thistle at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hamilton had 39% of the ball to Partick Thistle's 61%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hamilton and 1.17 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Partick Thistle?

Hamilton 1-0 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 29%, draw 29%, Partick Thistle 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Partick Thistle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Under 2.5
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