Raith Rovers 1-0 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.51
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
10%
14.85
X/1
9%
8.37
X/2
18%
4.12
X/X
9%
4.72
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.42
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.10/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.74
+12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Falkirk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
27.11.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
03.03.2020 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
14.12.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
05.10.2019 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-2 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
07.09.2019 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCK
01.04.2017 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raith Rovers
1-0
AWAY Falkirk
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
2 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers edged past Falkirk 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Raith Rovers had 48% of the ball to Falkirk's 52%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.00 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Falkirk?

Raith Rovers 1-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 24%, draw 25%, Falkirk 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Falkirk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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