Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 34% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.73
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
11%
5.44
X/2
14%
5.48
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.76
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-13.0pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.11/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.47
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Queens Park
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
20.04.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
10.02.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
05.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 2-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
16.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-2 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
07.05.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
04.05.2022 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1-2
AWAY Queens Park
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
11 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park edged past Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Queens Park as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 47% of the ball to Queens Park's 53%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.00 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Queens Park?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queens Park win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 31%, draw 28%, Queens Park 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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