Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.49
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
7%
5.49
X/2
14%
5.72
X/X
9%
4.79
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
20%
3.7
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.46/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.48
-3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.5 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queens Park
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
05.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 2-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
16.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-2 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
07.05.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
04.05.2022 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
18.11.2017 Queens Park Queens Park 1-4 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
08.10.2016 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
0-3
AWAY Queens Park
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park cruised past Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Queens Park as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 43% of the ball to Queens Park's 57%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.83 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Queens Park?

Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queens Park win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 32%, draw 26%, Queens Park 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park) ✗ Under 2.5
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