Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.15
X/1
17%
3.78
X/2
6%
11.05
X/X
15%
5.27
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
10%
8.98
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.47/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.74
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Airdrieonians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
13.04.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
05.03.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
09.12.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-2 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
05.08.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
22.04.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic nicked a narrow win over Airdrieonians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.33 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Airdrieonians?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 49%, draw 30%, Airdrieonians 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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