Ayr United 2-2 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.86
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
21%
4.02
X/2
13%
12.45
X/X
8%
6.09
2/1
7%
22.0
2/2
7%
10.25
2/X
7%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.91/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.59
+2% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
5.0 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queens Park
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
95% Pass Accuracy
10 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Queens Park Queens Park 2-3 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.11.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
21.09.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
23.03.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
27.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.11.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United and Queens Park shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ayr United and 1.67 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Ayr United 2-2 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 54%, draw 20%, Queens Park 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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