Raith Rovers 1-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.2
2-3 Goals
49%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.08
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
9%
18.45
X/1
16%
3.7
X/2
11%
11.6
X/X
7%
4.25
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
6%
11.35
2/X
6%
21.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 18%
-19% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.97/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.47
+6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
10 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.03.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-3 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
16.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-3 HT 0-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.10.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.04.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.02.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.10.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers and Greenock Morton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?

Raith Rovers 1-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 52%, draw 22%, Greenock Morton 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raith Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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