Greenock Morton 3-3 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.63
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
15%
5.32
X/2
12%
5.62
X/X
18%
3.37
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.43
2/X
4%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.81/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
+8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 67%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
8.5 Crosses 11.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
5 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-3 HT 0-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.10.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.04.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.02.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.10.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
12.08.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 3-2 HT 2-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Greenock Morton 3-3 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 37%, draw 30%, Raith Rovers 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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