Livingston 1-0 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.55
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
8%
6.08
X/2
12%
5.17
X/X
15%
3.93
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.53
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.01
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
219 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Falkirk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
5 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.01.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-2 Livingston Livingston İKCL
16.11.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
08.10.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
13.07.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKLK
17.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
03.02.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 1-3 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston edged past Falkirk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Livingston made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Livingston and 0.50 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Falkirk?

Livingston 1-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Livingston 32%, draw 30%, Falkirk 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Falkirk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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