Falkirk 1-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 31 Jan 2025

Falkirk
1-2 HT 0-2
Livingston
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Falkirk vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
12%
9.24
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
12%
24.7
2/2
9%
7.66
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.76/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.35
-2% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
7.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Falkirk vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Livingston
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
8 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
08.10.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
13.07.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKLK
17.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
03.02.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 1-3 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
23.01.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston squeezed past Falkirk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Falkirk and 0.83 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Livingston?

Falkirk 1-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 50%, draw 24%, Livingston 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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