Hamilton 0-3 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 Apr 2025

Hamilton
0-3 HT 0-2
Livingston
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Hamilton vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.02
1/2
11%
23.75
1/X
8%
17.75
X/1
10%
10.8
X/2
18%
4.04
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.04
2/X
10%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.89/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.30
-17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
196 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
1.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Hamilton vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Livingston
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.12 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
174 Passes 238
55% Pass Accuracy 62%
4 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Livingston Livingston 3-0 HT 2-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
09.11.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
14.09.2024 Livingston Livingston 3-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
22.07.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
13.03.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
23.12.2020 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston swept aside Hamilton 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hamilton and 2.33 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Livingston?

Hamilton 0-3 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 21%, draw 30%, Livingston 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5
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