Livingston 3-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
14%
8.12
X/X
10%
4.81
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
9%
6.33
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.41/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.45
-18% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
330 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hamilton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
233 Passes 183
62% Pass Accuracy 56%
29 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
13.03.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
23.12.2020 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
12.09.2020 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
25.01.2020 Hamilton Hamilton 2-4 HT 1-2 Livingston Livingston İKP
30.11.2019 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston swept aside Hamilton 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Livingston and 1.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Hamilton?

Livingston 3-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Livingston 43%, draw 28%, Hamilton 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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