Ayr United 1-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 14 Sep 2024

Ayr United
1-1 HT 1-0
Partick Thistle
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Ayr United vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.75
X/X
11%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
15%
6.23
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.85/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.85
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
– Crosses 23.9
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Ayr United vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
281 Passes 300
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
27.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 4-3 HT 3-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
31.10.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-4 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
26.05.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-5 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
19.05.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United and Partick Thistle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayr United and 2.83 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?

Ayr United 1-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 45%, draw 25%, Partick Thistle 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ayr United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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