Queens Park 1-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.93
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
8%
4.35
X/2
14%
6.4
X/X
10%
4.66
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.97
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+10.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.60/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.10
+5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
30.03.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
17.02.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
16.12.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
07.10.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
29.04.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 1-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
04.03.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-2 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Queens Park found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Queens Park and 1.17 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Greenock Morton?

Queens Park 1-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 35%, draw 25%, Greenock Morton 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Greenock Morton), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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