Greenock Morton 2-0 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
9%
7.01
X/X
11%
4.59
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.26
2/X
7%
14.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.65 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.49/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.66
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Queens Park
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
17.02.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
16.12.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
07.10.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
29.04.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 1-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
04.03.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-2 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
11.02.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-2 HT 2-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton saw off Queens Park 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greenock Morton as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.83 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Queens Park?

Greenock Morton 2-0 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 43%, draw 28%, Queens Park 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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