Partick Thistle 1-0 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 30 Mar 2024

Partick Thistle
1-0 HT 1-0
Inverness CT
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Partick Thistle vs Inverness CT Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.21
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
8.11
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
12%
6.28
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · X/2 at 8.11 — our 16% vs market 8.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Partick Thistle v Inverness CT — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.84/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.29
+8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.5 Crosses 13.2
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Partick Thistle vs Inverness CT Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
331 Passes 168
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 3-3 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.12.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
07.10.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
24.03.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.12.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 5-1 HT 2-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
07.10.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle nicked a narrow win over Inverness CT 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Partick Thistle made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.17 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Inverness CT?

Partick Thistle 1-0 Inverness CT in the Scotland - Championship on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 39%, draw 28%, Inverness CT 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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